We are developing and demonstrating the world’s first open-source, integrated human – ecology – economics systems modelling platform that enables resilient disaster risk sensitive planning, policy-making, investment and procurement for city-regions globally.
resilience.io is designed as a computer-based platform that provides an integrated systems view of a city-region. It will be an analysis and decision-support tool for collaboration and resilience decision-making. The resilience.io platform combines computer representations of resource flows, human and business activities and infrastructure systems. The platform contains a growing library of process models of typical human, industrial and ecological systems, the relevant ones of which are used in a local instance to create a tailored integrated systems model for a city-region.
It is designed to connect to many data sources, including from earth observation satellites, government and private sector data, local sensor networks, smart phones, tablets and local survey data. This data is processed by the systems model and visualized to give an improved understanding of the human, economic and ecological systems within a region including how these are interlinked.
Installing a local version of the model allows communities to manage both their economy and its critical supporting ecosystems on the basis of integrated systems insights. It allows city-regions globally to assess their current development path, taking account of the risks of climate change, resource scarcity and events and map out a more sustainable and resilient pathway. It is a tool for testing possible scenarios and driving towards a holistic set of social, environment and economic goals.
resilience.io is designed and created to support regional investment and performance based procurement in resilient growth of sustainable city-regions with the governance and metrics that planners, designers and investors need. Utilities, services and transport infrastructure, construction, water and energy supply, clean technology, climate adaptation, agriculture and forestry, health and education are all part of this and together are vital components of resilient urban growth. The platform will build evidence to attract public and private investment to climate adaptation and mitigation projects that achieve economic, social and environmental goals within resilient inclusive development.
The platform is one part of our overall approach of supporting transformational change through integrated thinking and collaborative approaches. Our approach is described by the following five components on the right.
The value of the platform will rest on the quality and range of data available to it. The Trust, in conjunction with its partners have developed a data collection strategy identifying the minimum data and data quality requirements for operating the platform successfully and this forms a part of installing the platform in a new city-region location. The Trust is ensuring that rapidly emerging globally recognized open data protocols and measurement systems are followed so that resilience.io will support data collection requirements such as for the Sendai framework. In order to achieve this level of data access, a defined cataloguing and data processing service will be developed so that models can access these data sets.
To address the challenges of climate-change and risks from shocks and stresses, a systems approach is needed that provides an integrated systems viewpoint of a city region as it stands and which allows evaluation of proposed planning, policy and infrastructure interventions. A systems approach provides insights into the interconnectivity and relationships between places, people and the environment including systems such as transport, housing, energy, water, waste, food and human health, and the associated chemical and physical changes that are functioning within a city-region over time. The research behind the development of this component is further described below.
We see a clear need for a new type of Organisation with deep multi-disciplinary skills, to act as a neutral, trusted catalyst to foster new forms of collaboration between the public and private sectors. This collaborative decision-making process will lead to shared knowledge, mutually beneficial partnerships and enhanced capacity for achieving shared goals which are inclusive. At ThTrust we call this Collaborative Intelligence contained within a Collaboratory. Citizens are often un-empowered and placed outside the critical processes shaping and driving change. Our aim is to ensure that the information and insight we help regions to develop, will draw on input from across cultures and communities and is made available to as wide a section of society as possible.
This entire initiative will be open-source and provide a quantitative analysis of the system interactions between the economic (values and market), ecological and societal aspects of the region’s resource flows and their connection to national and global resources. The platform is built on an architecture of agent-based, socio-economic simulation, that includes an integrated view of land use, agent activity, resource flows, and infrastructure networks. With this in place, perhaps the most critical element of the platform will be the creation of accessible user interfaces. The aim is to provide human access to the model via a friendly, intuitive interface. A very detailed view of all of the integrated systems could perhaps be too complex for most purposes. To this end a set of sector specific cockpits will be developed providing a sector view into the overall city-region model.
Urban Investment fund
Currently, both local and international sources of private capital for investment in cities are concerned about risk and return. Further incentives are needed to increase the level of investment in city-level sustainable and resilient infrastructure that is risk sensitive. Such incentives could include risk amelioration through the utilisation of longer-term public sector support, including the use of guarantees for specific risk elements. The Trust are developing and demonstrating resilience.io in a series of pilot regions globally. The practical nature of the pilots will facilitate local institutions collaboration on data generation and testing scenarios and proposals. These scenarios are presented as a pipeline of bankable projects which will attract investment through dedicated Urban Development and Investment Funds.
Building value into city regions with resilience.io – Animated short film
Animated and Directed by Peter Bunzl Narrated by Kate Rawson
Soil to Sky – Our Vision and Inspiration – Short film
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resilience.io tool explainer – 1 page PDF
resilience.io specifications and use case results – summary documents and report
resilience.io platform report – 35-page easy-read report introduces the resilience.io platform, a decision-support tool for planning, investment and policy-making.
The economic science behind resilience.io and how it will operate– 1 hour webinar with Q&A